Thoughts on Iowa

For the Democrats, Hillary Clinton seems to have *barely* scraped by with a 0.1 to 0.3 percent win. As suspected, turnout was key. There are some areas where the count seems a little off or unreported, but we’ll see how that works out.

Bernie Sanders should win New Hampshire handily, giving him a nice media presence afterwards. His real test will be South Carolina and Nevada. He needs to get his message out to the black communities in SC and make sure they understand he’s not trying to destroy President Obama’s accomplishments like the Clinton campaign has been making it sound.

For Hillary’s part, she needs to play to her strengths. For some reason people think her 8 years as a senator a 4 years as Secretary of State give her the edge on experience, even though Bernie has held elected office for 32 years. She should keep in mind that people do not view her as sincere and honest and act accordingly. My guess is that she won’t because that’s just not her style, and she doesn’t want to risk coming off as more insincere.

Clinton has a huge lead in super delegates, but if Bernie proves himself viable in more diverse states they will shift to his side as they did to President Obama’s in 2008. An exciting time in politics to be sure.

On the Republican front, Donald Trump wasn’t able to turn his polling numbers into a victory. If this holds true going forward, look for Rubio to ascend, which he seems to be doing already.

Jeb is a disaster. If he doesn’t have a strong showing in New Hampshire, he’s likely done for…if he isn’t already.

Cruz must be feeling pretty good, though Iowa picked Rick Santorum in 2012 so we’ll see how that goes.

Keep in mind that Bernie polls better against the Republican field than Hillary. I believe Hillary vs Rubio went to Rubio in fact.

Finally, if ‪#‎BernieSanders‬ needs someone in eastern North Carolina, I would be happy to oblige.


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